Date: Tue, 8 Feb 94 04:30:50 PST
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Subject: Ham-Space Digest V94 #22
To: Ham-Space
Ham-Space Digest Tue, 8 Feb 94 Volume 94 : Issue 22
Today's Topics:
Daily IPS Report - 6 Feb 94
Daily IPS Report - 7 Feb 94
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Date: 7 Feb 94 00:32:35 GMT
From: agate!howland.reston.ans.net!cs.utexas.edu!swrinde!sgiblab!munnari.oz.au!newshost.anu.edu.au!sserve!usage!metro!news.ci.com.au!eram!dave@network.ucsd.edu
Subject: Daily IPS Report - 6 Feb 94
To: ham-space@ucsd.edu
IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES AUSTRALIA
Daily Solar And Geophysical Report
Issued at 2330 UT 5 February 1994
Summary for 5 February and Forecast up to 8 February
IPS Warning 03 was issued on 3 Feb and is current for 7-11 Feb.
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: very low
Flares: None.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 093/040
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
06 February 07 February 08 February
Activity Very low Very low Very low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 090/037
1C. SOLAR COMMENT
None.
-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : mostly quiet to unsettled
Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 4 February
Learmonth 11 2324 2232
Fredericksburg 18 10
Planetary 18 08
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
DATE Ap CONDITIONS
06 Feb 08 Unsettled, active conditions may begin by the end of
today.
07 Feb 16 Active.
08 Feb 20 Active.
2C. MAGNETIC COMMENT
None.
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
LATITUDE BAND
DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH
05 Feb normal normal normal
PCA Event : None.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
LATITUDE BAND
DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH
06 Feb normal normal fair
07 Feb normal fair poor
08 Feb normal fair poor
3C. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION COMMENT
NONE.
-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
MUFs at Sydney were near predicted monthly values to 30% enhanced
during local night.
T index: 50
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE T-index MUFs
06 Feb 40 Near predicted monthly values.
07 Feb 0 About 20% below predicted monthly values.
08 Feb 10 About 15% below predicted monthly values.
Predicted Monthly T Index for February is 30.
4C. AUSTRALIAN REGION COMMENT
None.
--
Dave Horsfall (VK2KFU) VK2KFU @ VK2OP.NSW.AUS.OC PGP 2.3
dave@esi.COM.AU ...munnari!esi.COM.AU!dave available
------------------------------
Date: 7 Feb 94 00:33:18 GMT
From: agate!spool.mu.edu!sgiblab!munnari.oz.au!newshost.anu.edu.au!sserve!usage!metro!news.ci.com.au!eram!dave@network.ucsd.edu
Subject: Daily IPS Report - 7 Feb 94
To: ham-space@ucsd.edu
IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES AUSTRALIA
Daily Solar And Geophysical Report
Issued at 2330 UT 6 February 1994
Summary for 6 February and Forecast up to 9 February
IPS Warning 03 was issued on 03 Feb and is current
for interval 07-11 Feb.
-----------------------------------------------------------
1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
Activity: Very low.
Flares: None.
Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 95/41
1B. SOLAR FORECAST
07 February 08 February 09 February
Activity Very low Very low Very low
Fadeouts None expected None expected None expected
Forecast 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number : 94/40
1C. SOLAR COMMENT
None.
-----------------------------------------------------------
2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY
Geomagnetic field at Learmonth : storm levels
Estimated Indices : A K Observed A Index 5 February
Learmonth 57 6345 6665
Fredericksburg 41 21
Planetary 55 24
2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
DATE Ap CONDITIONS
07 Feb 40 Active to minor storm.
08 Feb 25 Active.
09 Feb 20 Active.
2C. MAGNETIC COMMENT
Magnetic activity commenced earlier and was more severe than
expected. This activity is probably due to a coronal hole.
Minor storm periods are expected for today then declining
to active periods over next three days.
3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
LATITUDE BAND
DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH
06 Feb normal normal fair
PCA Event : None.
3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
LATITUDE BAND
DATE LOW MIDDLE HIGH
07 Feb poor poor poor
08 Feb fair poor poor
09 Feb normal fair poor
3C. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION COMMENT
Degraded HF comms began yesterday and expected to continue
for today. High lats can expect degraded comms over next
four days.
-----------------------------------------------------------
4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY
MUFs at Sydney were about 10-20% below predicted monthly values
T index: -4
4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
DATE T-index MUFs
07 Feb 0 About 30% below predicted monthly values.
08 Feb 20 About 15% below predicted monthly values.
09 Feb 30 About 10% below predicted monthly values.
Predicted Monthly T Index for February is 30.
4C. AUSTRALIAN REGION COMMENT
Degraded HF comms expected during Feb 7-11.
--
Dave Horsfall (VK2KFU) VK2KFU @ VK2OP.NSW.AUS.OC PGP 2.3
dave@esi.COM.AU ...munnari!esi.COM.AU!dave available
------------------------------
End of Ham-Space Digest V94 #22
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